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Netflix Shares Fall More Than 7% After Weak Q3 Forecast

Netflix's Q3 forecast came in below expectations, and shares fell more than 7% in after-hours trading. Warner Bros is officially going to Paramount for $111 billion.

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Netflixi aktsia saab valusalt lüüa
Netflixi aktsia saab valusalt lüüaAI-generated

Netflix shares fell more than 7% in after-hours trading after the streaming giant issued a third-quarter forecast below expectations and reported a slowdown in user activity growth. The company's press release recorded both negative signals simultaneously.

The stock slump coincided with a string of setbacks for the company. Warner Bros, which Netflix fought for as part of a failed acquisition deal, is officially going to Paramount. According to media reports, Paramount has already reached an agreement with California authorities that removes a significant obstacle to the $111 billion takeover. Earlier, a US federal judge had temporarily halted the plan to buy Warner Bros for $110 billion.

While Netflix management licks its wounds after the deal's collapse, investors have to make sense of the uncertainty surrounding the streaming giant's future growth on their own. HSBC analyst Mohammed Khallouf believes YouTube's growth poses a far more serious threat to Netflix than the latest cautious market commentary. Three factors could squeeze the company's margins at once: rising content costs, viewer fatigue, and the failure of a major deal.

Regulatory Pressure in the Baltics

Netflix's problems are not limited to the US capital market. Latvia plans to introduce investment obligations in the local film industry for major streaming platforms. Netflix, Go3, and Apple TV+ will fall under the new requirements. The initiative will follow similar European rules requiring global services to fund local content production.

Market Backdrop

Thursday's trading reflected overall investor nervousness. The S&P 500 lost 0.77% and settled at 7,705.01 points. The Dow Jones declined 0.61% to 51,549.8. The Nasdaq dropped 1.25% to 26,904.68 points. Against this backdrop, Netflix's fall looks especially painful for the tech sector.

European exchanges ended the day more calmly: the UK's FTSE 100 fell just 0.03% to 10,705.26. The Asian session gave a positive signal — Japan's Nikkei 225 gained 1.38% and reached 65,018.95 points.

Baltic indices showed mixed performance. OMX Tallenn added 0.01% (2,199.16), OMX Vilnius rose 0.18% (1,506.79), OMX Riga declined 0.2% (962.48). The OMX Baltic benchmark index rose 0.21% to 317.86.

The currency market saw no significant movements. The dollar is trading against the euro at 0.88, the pound at 1.16. The euro is worth 96.43 roubles.

Retail Real Estate Trend

In parallel, a story is developing in the Baltic capital market that is indirectly linked to investor sentiment. Investment company Tewox, owned by asset manager Lords LB Asset Management, placed €19 million in bonds this week. The company's business is built on retail properties in Lithuania and Poland.

Tewox head Paulius Nevinskas explains why retail parks are now considered one of the most resilient segments of commercial real estate in European markets, primarily in Poland, and what investors should pay attention to when selecting properties.

For subscribers, analytical materials reveal the details: how rising content costs, viewer fatigue, and a failed major deal will weigh on Netflix's growth and what this means for investors in the medium term.

Source: Äripäev Turundus

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